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Current Win Probability
Nõmme Kalju U21 22.5%
Draw 20.2%
Nõmme United U21 57.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
22.2%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
22.8%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nõmme Kalju U21's form might have worsened.
Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme United U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nõmme Kalju U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nõmme United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nõmme Kalju U21 - Nõmme United U21 Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme United U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Evans T. ⚽, Chisala B. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Evans T. ⚽, Chisala B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, Jabir I. ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, Tomingas K. ⚽,
77', Chisala B. (Penalty Awarded),
88', 2 - 3, Kiisel A. ⚽,
Preview
Recent results have been tough for Nõmme Kalju U21 (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Nõmme United U21 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Nõmme United U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nõmme United U21 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme Kalju U21 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 2.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nõmme Kalju U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals.