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Current Win Probability
Nõmme Kalju U21 20.3%
Draw 18.8%
Flora U21 60.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
21.1%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
20.7%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nõmme Kalju U21's form might have worsened.
Flora U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flora U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nõmme Kalju U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flora U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
3', 0 - 1, Zotov D. (Penalty Awarded),
12', 0 - 2, Pihlak P. ⚽,
15', 0 - 3, Lorenz K. ⚽,
39', 0 - 4, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 5, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
73', 1 - 5, Idalecio (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 2.
Recent form of Nõmme Kalju U21 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Flora U21's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Flora U21 is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Flora U21
31
15
6
10
72:53
19
51
9
Nomme Kalju U21
31
7
4
20
38:79
-41
25
Last Results with these Odds
Nõmme Kalju U21 - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 26.64%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Flora U21 - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.27%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.
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