Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 35

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Hiiu Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme Kalju U21		Tallinna Kalev U21

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.65	3.45
	1.69	4.7	3.52
	1.48	5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)	4.78 ↑ (4.58)	3.74 ↑ (3.39)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju U21
56.6%

Draw
19%

Tallinna Kalev U21
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

19.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

19.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Tallinna Kalev U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju U21 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1, 1st Half - Nõmme Kalju U21 (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme Kalju U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Pavlov M. (G) 73. Jekimov F. 2. Lillemets J. 70. Boronilstsikov A. 22. Nikolajev A. 26. Pihkva J. 99. Timoska A. 7. Petrov V. 78. Subbotin I. (C) 9. Godwin C. 77. Gomes J.	13. Kaljurand J. (G) 2. Kahro K. 23. Tammepold H. 26. Kukk C. 15. Mellis V. 14. Hartwich M. 16. Kirt A. (C) 7. Jaritsa E. 10. Lasn O. 9. Ilves R. 27. Kubensky S.
Substitutes
50. Helmja V. 53. Jaaniste E. 96. Kindel J. (G) 17. Sutorin V. 24. Tamme M. 29. Tomingas K. 11. Toome O. 10. Tragon S. 4. Tummeltau R.	19. Esna J. 8. Kirss H. 80. Laurik T. (G) 3. Oja R. 6. Seimoja T. 11. Treumuth K. 17. Valjas S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Godwin C. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Gomes J. ⚽,
14', 3 - 0, Timoska A. ⚽,
40', Kubensky S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lasn O. ↓, Valjas S. ↑,
46', Ilves R. ↓, Treumuth K. ↑,
46', Kahro K. ↓, Seimoja T. ↑,
46', Jaritsa E. ↓, Esna J. ↑,
46', Hartwich M. ↓, Kirss H. ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Seimoja T. ⚽,
60', Petrov V. ↓, Tragon S. ↑,
83', 4 - 1, Gomes J. ⚽,
84', Timoska A. ↓, Jaaniste E. ↑,

Preview

Kalev U21 is Relegated to Esiliiga B

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 1.

In recent matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kalev U21 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Nõmme Kalju U21 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nõmme Kalju U21 is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju U21 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju U21
Estonian Esiliiga
26.10.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tammeka U21	4:1 ✺
23.10.25	Tartu Welco - Nõmme Kalju U21	5:2 ✺
20.10.25	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	FC Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTWL
- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga
26.10.25	Nõmme United - Tallinna Kalev U21	8:0 ✺
23.10.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Flora U21	1:4 ✺
19.10.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tartu Welco	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	FC Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Elva	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
16.08.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:2
29.05.25	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:3
03.03.25	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	1:2
28.09.18	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	1:0
16.08.18	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:1
08.07.18	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	0:4
29.03.18	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Nõmme Kalju U21	2:0

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