Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 28

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme United U21		Narva Trans U21

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.55	2.4
	4.47	4.57	1.55	Watch
	2.48	3.6	2.34
	2.45	3.66	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.75)	3.85 ↑ (3.75)	2.13 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United U21
31.7%

Draw
24.3%

Narva Trans U21
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

24%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.4%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Narva Trans U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Narva Trans U21 aligns with the current prediction.

Nõmme United U21 - Narva Trans U21 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Ortega R. (G) 32. Piht K. 58. Medvedev A. 5. Kais J. 19. Tiigiste R. 25. Kabal G. (C) 16. Dacosta O. 66. Palu R. 79. Ossep L. 11. Chisala B. 59. Gusarov A.	1. Zahharov M. (G) 5. Sibul D. (C) 16. Kondrattsev S. 21. Petkus E. 9. Kudriashov V. 27. Shantenkov V. 11. Geveller D. 17. Besigirskis A. 23. Jegorov A. 7. Torchakov V. 8. Bahval P.
Substitutes
31. Kaspar A. 12. MIhelson S. 20. Polda P. (G) 18. Saarnak J. 77. Tomingas K. 8. Valge A. 17. Zilmer K.	20. Freitas Correia J. 13. Ivanov J. 2. Jerjomin J. 19. Kaurson S. 14. Pavlov V. 31. Rebrik I. (G) 10. Solodov A. 99. Stepanov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Kais J. (Own goal),
27', 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Gusarov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
65', Bahval P. 🟥,
71', 2 - 1, Palu R. ⚽,
79', 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Dacosta O. ⚽,

Preview

Nõmme United U21 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Narva U21 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Narva U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nõmme United U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
04.10.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	5:1 ✺
28.09.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Nõmme United U21	1:5 ✺
23.09.25	Nõmme United U21 - Paide U21	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United U21	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW
- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
08.10.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Narva Trans U21 - Kuressaare U21	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Narva Trans U21	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Tartu Kalev - Narva Trans U21	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Narva Trans U21 - Paide U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
19.07.25	Narva Trans U21 - Nõmme United U21	0:2
21.06.25	Nõmme United U21 - Narva Trans U21	1:0
07.03.25	Narva Trans U21 - Nõmme United U21	3:0

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