Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 26

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)


	Nõmme United U21		Tabasalu

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.1	3.4
	1.72	4.15	3.4
	1.89	3.99	3.06
	1.86	4.12	3.28	Watch
	1.71	4.15	3.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.69)	4.1 ↓ (4.33)	3.36 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United U21
51%

Draw
22.1%

Tabasalu
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

21.1%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

20.3%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Purg G. (G) 32. Piht K. 58. Medvedev A. 5. Kais J. 23. Marmei M. 17. Zilmer K. 25. Kabal G. (C) 12. MIhelson S. 7. Leppik R. 59. Gusarov A. 77. Tomingas K.	1. Kristel R. (G) 42. Soopalu S. 66. Salei S. (C) 14. Moor A. 7. Pormeister K. 4. Kokla J. 22. Vilisoo E. 80. Taal J. 10. Lindemann R. 24. Sarapuu A. 32. Anepaio A.
Substitutes
40. Kaspar A. 50. Kranberg R. 91. Ortega R. (G) 18. Saarnak J. 28. Salmistu S. 19. Tiigiste R. 8. Valge A. 36. Veske S.	76. Altmets K. 19. Anepaio R. 12. Ilves R. (G) 72. Lipp D. 5. Nilsen J. 17. Riigov R. 77. Roste R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
48', 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, ⚽,
70', 🟨,
81', 5 - 0, ⚽,
86', 6 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Tabasalu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nõmme United U21 is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nõmme United U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Including home match between the teams, Nõmme United U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
24.08.25	Paide U21 - Nõmme United U21	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	4:2 ✺
10.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Kuressaare U21	0:3 ✺
04.08.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Nõmme United U21	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tartu Kalev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TWLLL
- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
21.08.25	Tabasalu - Kuressaare U21	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Tartu Kalev - Tabasalu	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Tabasalu - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
25.07.25	Tammeka - Tabasalu	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
05.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	5:2

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