Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 26

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Narva Kalev-Fama staadion (Narva)


	Narva Trans U21		Paide U21

	1	X	2
	1.35	5.25	5.5
	1.34	5.35	5.5
	1.68	4.26	3.27
	1.77	4.3	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.31)	4.79 ↓ (5.25)	4.43 ↓ (7.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Narva Trans U21
60%

Draw
19.2%

Paide U21
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

17.4%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

16.5%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Narva Trans U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Narva Trans U21's form might have worsened.

Paide U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paide U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Narva Trans U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paide U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Narva Trans U21 - Paide U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Rebrik I. (G) 36. Bahval P. 47. Baljabkin N. 37. Besigirskis A. 19. Elysee 23. Jegorov A. (C) 55. Jerjomin J. 16. Kondrattsev S. 29. Kudriashov V. 66. Petkus E. 3. Sibul D.	70. Isakar R. (G) 30. Badamosi A. 7. Corr P. 37. Kanne K. 32. Kiik K. 88. Kool R. 77. Luts D. 41. Ounpuu R. 66. Rak C. 11. Reinkort S. 46. Reivik K. (C)
Substitutes
44. Geveller D. 39. Ivanov J. 45. Mihhailov D. 40. Pavlov V. 2. Shantenkov V. 20. Stepanov M. 58. Torchakov V. 1. Zahharov M. (G) 38. Zubkov T.	17. Cham P. A. 33. Kaarmann K. (G) 71. Kallas K. 72. Roos R. 6. Tumasevski E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Baljabkin N. ⚽,
26', 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Corr P. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Reinkort S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟨,
82', 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Narva U21 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paide U21's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Paide U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Narva U21 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Narva U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Narva U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Narva Trans U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
24.08.25	Läänemaa Haapsalu - Narva Trans U21	1:5 ✺
16.08.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	5:1 ✺
10.08.25	Narva Trans U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	4:2 ✺
01.08.25	Tabasalu - Narva Trans U21	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Narva Trans U21	11:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLL
- Paide U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
24.08.25	Paide U21 - Nõmme United U21	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Paide U21	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Paide U21	3:2 ✺
04.08.25	Paide U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	6:1 ✺
19.07.25	Tartu Kalev - Paide U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
14.06.25	Narva Trans U21 - Paide U21	3:0
05.05.25	Paide U21 - Narva Trans U21	3:4

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