Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Winter N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nürnberg		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.8	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.7	3.6
	1.95	3.75	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.8	3.55
	2.04	3.74	3.7
	1.91	3.7	3.3
	1.98	3.86	3.66	Watch
	2	3.75	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.71)	3.76 ↓ (4.05)	3.55 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
48%

Draw
25.2%

Osnabrück
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

23.4%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

25.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nürnberg's form might have worsened.

Osnabrück has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osnabrück's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nürnberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osnabrück, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	13.6%	4.5%

Nürnberg - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: Nürnberg will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klaus C. (G) 28. Gyamerah J. (C) 15. Marquez I. 38. Horn J. 27. Brown N. 17. Castrop J. 6. Flick F. 42. Uzun C. Y. 14. Goller B. 20. Andersson S. 11. Okunuki K.	22. Kuhn P. (G) 2. Androutsos A. 4. Gyamfi M. (C) 14. Diakhite O. 3. Kleinhansl F. 27. Cuisance M. 26. Gnaase D. 13. Kunze L. 17. Conteh C. 9. Engelhardt E. 7. Niemann N.
Substitutes
8. Duman T. 5. Geis J. 3. Gurleyen A. 43. Hofmann J. 19. Hubner F. 46. Kania J. 26. Mathenia C. (G) 36. Schleimer L. 13. Wekesser E.	5. Ajdini B. 37. Goiginger T. 1. Grill L. (G) 21. Lobinger L. 8. Tesche R. 6. Thalhammer M. 25. Wiemann N. 10. Wriedt K. O. 32. Wulff J.
Coaches
Fiel C.	Koschinat U.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nürnberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nürnberg is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
26.01.24	Hannover - Nürnberg	3:0 ✺
20.01.24	Nürnberg - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.24	Nürnberg - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Nürnberg - Hamburger SV	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Elversberg - Nürnberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW
- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
27.01.24	Osnabrück - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Karlsruher - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.24	Twente - Osnabrück	2:2 ✺
06.01.24	Osnabrück - Zwolle	Canceled ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.12.23	Hertha Berlin - Osnabrück	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TLT?T

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
20.08.23	Osnabrück - Nürnberg	2:3
14.03.21	Nürnberg - Osnabrück	1:1
23.11.20	Osnabrück - Nürnberg	1:4
08.02.20	Osnabrück - Nürnberg	0:1
25.08.19	Nürnberg - Osnabrück	1:0
German DFB Pokal
25.10.17	Osnabrück - Nürnberg	2:3

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