Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hertha Berlin		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.47	4.8	6	Watch
	1.45	4.75	6	Watch
	1.5	4.96	6.12
	1.5	4.96	6.12
	1.36	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.8	6.3	Watch
	1.44	5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	4.85 ↓ (4.88)	6.15 ↑ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
65%

Draw
19.6%

Osnabrück
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

19.3%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

18.4%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hertha Berlin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	7.1%	3.6%

Hertha Berlin - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: Hertha Berlin will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ernst T. (G) 16. Kenny J. 37. Leistner T. (C) 20. Kempf M. O. 6. Karbownik M. 41. Klemens P. 31. Dardai M. 26. Christensen G. 7. Niederlechner F. 39. Scherhant D. 25. Tabakovic H.	22. Kuhn P. (G) 5. Ajdini B. 4. Gyamfi M. (C) 14. Diakhite O. 3. Kleinhansl F. 26. Gnaase D. 8. Tesche R. 17. Conteh C. 27. Cuisance M. 7. Niemann N. 9. Engelhardt E.
Substitutes
5. Bouchalakis A. 17. El-Jindaoui N. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 8. Hussein B. 2. Pekarik P. 9. Prevljak S. 47. Rolke T. 22. Winkler M. 34. Zeefuik D.	28. Bahr F. 1. Grill L. (G) 18. Kehl L. 13. Kunze L. 11. Makridis C. 16. Rorig H. 6. Thalhammer M. 10. Wriedt K. O. 32. Wulff J.
Coaches
Dardai P.	Koschinat U.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Hertha in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Osnabrück is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hertha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hertha is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hertha to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
09.12.23	Kaiserslautern - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
06.12.23	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	4:3 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
03.12.23	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	5:1 ✺
24.11.23	Hannover - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.11.23	Hertha Berlin - Altglienicke	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWTW
- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
09.12.23	Osnabrück - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
01.12.23	Schalke 04 - Osnabrück	4:0 ✺
25.11.23	Osnabrück - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - Osnabrück	3:2 ✺
04.11.23	Osnabrück - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLLT

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