Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Oberena		Bidezarra

	1	X	2
	2.18	3	3.1
	1.04	10.43	25.00	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.21	2.97	3.2
	2.14	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.28)	4.48 ↑ (3.25)	7.54 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oberena
59%

Draw
25.7%

Bidezarra
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oberena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oberena's performance.

Bidezarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bidezarra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oberena than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oberena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidezarra than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bidezarra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oberena - Bidezarra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Oberena (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oberena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

Oberena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bidezarra is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oberena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Bidezarra	5	0	3	2	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Oberena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
03.01.26	Txantrea - Oberena	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Oberena - Pamplona	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Cirbonero - Oberena	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Oberena - Artajonés	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Subiza - Oberena	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTWL
- FC Bidezarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
04.01.26	Bidezarra - Izarra	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Aoiz - Bidezarra	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Txantrea - Bidezarra	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Bidezarra - Pamplona	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Cirbonero - Bidezarra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
13.01.24	Bidezarra - Oberena	1:0

Oberena - Bidezarra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide