Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Obolon Arena (Kyiv)

Referee: Yevtukhov D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Obolon		Rukh Lviv

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.98	2.68
	2.88	3.03	2.58
	2.81	3.02	2.77	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.5
	2.93	3.05	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.69)	3 ↓ (3.19)	2.64 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obolon
33.5%

Draw
31.1%

Rukh Lviv
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Rukh Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Obolon - Rukh Lviv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Marchenko D. (G) 28. Polehenko P. 3. Pryimak V. 50. Semenov D. 5. Shevchenko Y. 4. Moroz T. 17. Chernenko R. 13. Medynskyi I. 10. Slobodyan O. 24. Prokopenko Y. 9. Ustymenko D.	1. Gereta Y. (G) 75. Kitela A. 17. Slyusar D. 76. Tovarnytskyi O. 93. Roman V. 15. Pidgurskyi D. 10. Prytula O. 30. Talles Brener 56. Boyko M. 33. Zalypka A. 9. Neves I.
Substitutes
1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 22. Feshchenko O. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 90. Lyakh T. 91. Lyashchuk R. 40. Nesterenko I. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 55. Sukhanov S. 99. Teslyuk D. 75. Tretyakov M. 20. Volokhatyi R.	77. Almazbekov B. 28. Klymenko Y. (G) 47. Kvas K. 4. Kyrychok M. 25. Levytskyi B. 8. Raileanu V. 52. Rybak K. 21. Tutti 79. Yasinsky V.
Coaches
Antonenko O.	Fedyk I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Slyusar D. ↓, Kyrychok M. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Ustymenko D. ⚽, Shevchenko Y. (A),
43', Prokopenko Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Tovarnytskyi O. 🟨,
58', Zalypka A. ↓, Kvas K. ↑,
58', Neves I. ↓, Tutti ↑,
65', Kitela A. 🟨,
66', Prokopenko Y. ↓, Tretyakov M. ↑,
66', Ustymenko D. ↓, Lyakh T. ↑,
66', Medynskyi I. ↓, Nesterenko I. ↑,
79', Chernenko R. ↓, Volokhatyi R. ↑,
83', Tutti ↓, Raileanu V. ↑,
83', Talles Brener ↓, Almazbekov B. ↑,
85', Slobodyan O. ↓, Kulakovskyi A. ↑,
90+3', Prytula O. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 2.

Rukh is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rukh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Obolon won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Obolon	7	0	4	3	2:12	-10	4

Last Results with these Odds

Obolon - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Rukh Lviv - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.26%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
23.02.26	Oleksandriya - Obolon	Obolon awarded ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Botev Plovdiv - Obolon	Canceled ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
12.12.25	Obolon - Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Obolon	3:0 ✺
28.11.25	Obolon - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ??LLT
- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
20.02.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Rukh Lviv - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Rukh Lviv - Brinje-Grosuplje	2:3 ✺
11.02.26	Radomlje - Rukh Lviv	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Rukh Lviv - Rudeš	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
15.08.25	Rukh Lviv - Obolon	1:2
15.12.24	Rukh Lviv - Obolon	1:3
11.08.24	Obolon - Rukh Lviv	0:4
11.05.24	Obolon - Rukh Lviv	0:0
06.11.23	Rukh Lviv - Obolon	2:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.07.20	Obolon - Rukh Lviv	0:0
21.09.19	Rukh Lviv - Obolon	0:1

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