Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Referee: Paskhal I. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Obolon		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.15	2.08
	3.6	3.39	2.04
	3.57	3.42	2.08	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.1
	4.02	3.45	2.02	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.53)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	2.07 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obolon
26.2%

Draw
28.5%

Kharkiv
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

27.8%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

27.1%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	5.9%	82.4%

Obolon - Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: Kharkiv will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kharkiv will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Stashkiv V. (G) 24. Prokopenko Y. 3. Pryimak V. 50. Semenov D. 5. Shevchenko Y. 14. Ilyin O. 6. Chekh M. 17. Chernenko R. (C) 55. Sukhanov S. 40. Nesterenko I. 9. Ustymenko D.	30. Varakuta D. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 27. Krupskyi I. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 15. Antyukh D. 11. Churko V. 72. Zabergja B. 19. Rashica E. 98. Itodo P.
Substitutes
79. Artemchuk V. 1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 11. Grysyo M. 70. Korkh K. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 95. Kurko V. 13. Medynskyi I. 20. Royenko N. 10. Slobodyan O. 99. Teslyuk D. 19. Titov M. 69. Tovarchi O.	70. Bagriy I. 73. Karpizin Y. 17. Kogut I. 25. Lytvynenko I. 24. Martynyuk O. 80. Mba C. 1. Mozil O. (G) 91. Panchenko M. 74. Snurnitsyn I.
Coaches
Antonenko O.	Bartulovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Ustymenko D. ⚽, Ilyin O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', Rashica E. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Churko V. ⚽, Antyukh D. (A),
60', 1 - 2, Itodo P. ⚽, Antyukh D. (A),
63', Sukhanov S. ↓, Medynskyi I. ↑,
67', Ustymenko D. ↓, Teslyuk D. ↑,
68', Churko V. 🟨,
73', Itodo P. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
73', Churko V. ↓, Lytvynenko I. ↑,
77', Nesterenko I. ↓, Slobodyan O. ↑,
77', Ilyin O. ↓, Grysyo M. ↑,
85', Rashica E. ↓, Mba C. ↑,
90+2', Zabergja B. ↓, Martynyuk O. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Mba C. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 1.

Recent form of Obolon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metalist 1925 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Metalist 1925 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Obolon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
06.12.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Obolon	3:0 ✺
28.11.25	Obolon - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Obolon - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:6 ✺
07.11.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Obolon	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Kudrivka - Obolon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLWL
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
30.11.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Karpaty Lviv - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	1:3 ✺
03.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.25	Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Kharkiv - Obolon	2:0
Ukrainian Premier League
04.08.25	Kharkiv - Obolon	0:0
22.04.24	Kharkiv - Obolon	1:1
08.10.23	Obolon - Kharkiv	1:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.05.21	Obolon - Kharkiv	1:1
31.10.20	Kharkiv - Obolon	0:1
07.08.20	Obolon - Kharkiv	3:0

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