Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Referee: Yevtukhov D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Obolon		Kolos Kovalivka

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2
	3.85	3.6	1.97
	3.08	3.18	2.39	Watch
	3.92	3.5	2.04	Watch
	3.75	3.25	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.08)	3.41 ↑ (3.18)	2.06 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obolon
26.3%

Draw
27.8%

Kolos Kovalivka
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.7%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29.5%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kolos Kovalivka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kolos Kovalivka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Obolon - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kolos will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kolos: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kolos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 24. Prokopenko Y. 3. Pryimak V. 37. Dubko V. 5. Shevchenko Y. 17. Chernenko R. 6. Chekh M. 13. Medynskyi I. 10. Slobodyan O. (C) 40. Nesterenko I. 9. Ustymenko D.	31. Pakholyuk I. (G) 77. Ponedelnik A. 3. Kozik E. 16. Krasniqi I. 9. Tsurikov A. (C) 55. Elias 7. Demchenko O. 99. Rrapaj A. 14. Kane I. 70. Klymchuk Y. 17. Salabay A.
Substitutes
21. Bychek K. 28. Chornyi A. 22. Feshchenko O. 70. Korkh K. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 95. Kurko V. 91. Lyashchuk R. 42. Pasich Y. 50. Semenov D. 23. Stashkiv V. (G) 99. Teslyuk D. 19. Titov M.	19. Alefirenko D. 90. Bezruchuk O. 5. Bondarenko V. 6. Burda M. 8. Chelyadin A. 47. Denisenko D. 15. Gusol A. 1. Matsapura D. (G) 27. Oyewusi M. 38. Puzankov T. (G) 2. Rukhadze Z. 11. Tretyakov M.
Coaches
Antonenko O.	Kostyshyn R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Shevchenko Y. 🟨,
72', Salabay A. ↓, Gusol A. ↑,
72', Kane I. ↓, Alefirenko D. ↑,
73', Medynskyi I. ↓, Bychek K. ↑,
73', Ustymenko D. ↓, Teslyuk D. ↑,
82', Prokopenko Y. 🟨,
82', Klymchuk Y. ↓, Oyewusi M. ↑,
85', Nesterenko I. ↓, Pasich Y. ↑,
85', Slobodyan O. ↓, Semenov D. ↑,
86', Gusol A. 🟨,
88', Dubko V. 🟨,
90+2', Semenov D. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kolos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Obolon won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
22.11.25	Obolon - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:6 ✺
07.11.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Obolon	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Kudrivka - Obolon	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Obolon - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:4 ✺
17.10.25	Poltava - Obolon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLW
- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
22.11.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Kudrivka - Kolos Kovalivka	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Poltava - Kolos Kovalivka	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
08.12.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Obolon	0:0
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Obolon	0:1 penalties
Ukrainian Premier League
04.08.24	Obolon - Kolos Kovalivka	2:2
02.12.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Obolon	0:0
28.07.23	Obolon - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0
Club Friendly
04.07.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Obolon	2:4
10.07.19	Obolon - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1

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