Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 21

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Skagerak Arena (Skien)

Referee: Grundt J. W. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Odd		Strømsgodset

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.9	1.85
	3.10	4.00	1.93
	3.2	3.95	1.95
	3.36	4.36	1.98
	3.27	4.26	1.91	Watch
	3.25	4.2	1.89
	3.28	4.1	1.91
	3.1	3.9	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.63)	4.08 ↑ (3.75)	1.92 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odd
28.8%

Draw
22.7%

Strømsgodset
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

24.1%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

23.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Odd's form might have worsened.

Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strømsgodset's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odd than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Strømsgodset, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Odd - Strømsgodset Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erlandsson T. (G) 20. Simenstad G. 5. Bonnesen H. (C) 6. Vadstrup J. 13. Skjeldal S. 7. Jorgensen F. 8. Soderberg D. 23. Kojo N. 10. Rasmussen V. 22. Andersen K. 28. Tewelde F.	1. Lamhauge M. (G) 14. Enersen O. 25. Taaje J. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 22. Antonsen K. 8. Krasniqi K. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 9. Melkersen E. 10. Stengel H. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 11. Pingel S.
Substitutes
18. Aas S. 16. Adamu M. 17. Ambrose G. 9. Bojadzic S. 29. Engen J. 11. Glenna C. 26. Mugeese Z. 24. Oines S. (G) 15. Skau O.	47. Andresen S. 44. Horne E. 23. Ingebrethsen E. 12. Lampinen-Skaug S. (G) 77. Mehnert M. 5. Sormo B. 26. Vilsvik L. 80. Wikheim G.
Coaches
Frandsen P.	Hoseth M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Melkersen E. ⚽, Pingel S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ↓, Wikheim G. ↑,
48', Bonnesen H. 🟨,
53', Valsvik G. 🟨,
57', Enersen O. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Andersen K. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Melkersen E. ↓, Mehnert M. ↑,
64', Rasmussen V. ↓, Bojadzic S. ↑,
71', Kojo N. ↓, Aas S. ↑,
71', Enersen O. ↓, Vilsvik L. ↑,
71', Antonsen K. ↓, Andresen S. ↑,
72', Vadstrup J. 🟨,
81', Krasniqi K. ↓, Sormo B. ↑,
89', Soderberg D. ↓, Mugeese Z. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Odd won 3.

Odd has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Strømsgodset is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Strømsgodset could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Odd won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Odd won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stromsgodset: 11.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stromsgodset	24	15	6	3	61:31	30	51
5	Odd	24	11	6	7	50:38	12	39

Last Results with these Odds

Odd - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odds BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.26	Ranheim - Odd	3:5 ✺
26.08.26	Odd - Kongsvinger	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Lyn - Odd	5:1 ✺
10.08.26	Moss - Odd	3:3 ✺
02.08.26	Odd - Åsane	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTW
- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.08.26	Sogndal - Strømsgodset	2:3 ✺
26.08.26	Strømsgodset - Hødd	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ranheim - Strømsgodset	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Strømsgodset - Egersund	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Bryne - Strømsgodset	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.06.26	Strømsgodset - Odd	2:2
Club Friendly
18.02.26	Odd - Strømsgodset	2:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.07.24	Odd - Strømsgodset	2:0
02.06.24	Strømsgodset - Odd	1:1
Club Friendly
09.03.24	Strømsgodset - Odd	1:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.10.23	Strømsgodset - Odd	3:1
29.05.23	Odd - Strømsgodset	1:1

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