Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 17

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Melløs Stadion (Moss)

Referee: Hauge S. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Moss		Odd

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.80	2.00	Watch
	3.00	3.80	1.98
	3.00	3.80	2.04
	3.43	4.00	2.02
	2.9	4.07	2.11	Watch
	3.35	3.85	1.99
	3.26	3.80	2.00	Watch
	3.10	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.26)	3.86 ↓ (3.95)	2.01 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moss
29.5%

Draw
24.2%

Odd
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

23.4%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

23.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Odd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odd than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	5.9%	82.4%

Moss - Odd Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Odd (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Odd will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksen M. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 3. Strande K. (C) 16. Kvale W. 26. Chidi E. 4. Harrison K. 19. Overgaard L. 14. Musbaudeen J. 8. Vold Krohg H. 7. Laegreid J. 20. Semmen N.	1. Hansen S. (G) 20. Simenstad G. 5. Bonnesen H. (C) 6. Vadstrup J. 13. Skjeldal S. 7. Jorgensen F. 8. Soderberg D. 22. Andersen K. 10. Rasmussen V. 9. Bojadzic S. 28. Tewelde F.
Substitutes
17. Andersen P. 15. Engesvik A. A. 21. Gronli S. 31. Harveg J. 23. Hermanstad R. 22. Ogbole J. 12. Rylandsholm M. (G) 27. Selnaes J. S. 30. Sorensen K.	18. Aas S. 17. Ambrose G. 14. Gunnerod J. 23. Kojo N. 26. Mugeese Z. 24. Oines S. (G) 15. Skau O.
Coaches
Nesselquist O. M.	Frandsen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Bojadzic S. ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Tewelde F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Chidi E. ↓, Andersen P. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Laegreid J. ⚽, Musbaudeen J. (A),
52', 2 - 2, Vold Krohg H. ⚽,
73', 3 - 2, Semmen N. ⚽, Cassidy M. (A),
75', Semmen N. ↓, Hermanstad R. ↑,
75', Vold Krohg H. ↓, Selnaes J. S. ↑,
79', Jorgensen F. ↓, Aas S. ↑,
79', Andersen K. ↓, Kojo N. ↑,
79', Rasmussen V. ↓, Mugeese Z. ↑,
82', Simenstad G. 🟨,
82', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Gronli S. ↑,
85', Simenstad G. ↓, Ambrose G. ↑,
90+1', Skjeldal S. 🟨,
90+1', Overgaard L. ↓, Engesvik A. A. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Ambrose G. ⚽, Skjeldal S. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Moss has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Odd's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Odd could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Odd will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moss won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Moss won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Odd	24	11	6	7	50:38	12	39
13	Moss	24	7	4	13	38:54	-16	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.08.26	Hødd - Moss	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Moss - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Egersund - Moss	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Strømmen - Moss	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Moss - Sandnes Ulf	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Odds BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.08.26	Odd - Åsane	4:1 ✺
26.07.26	Strømmen - Odd	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Odd - Haugesund	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Strømsgodset - Odd	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Odd - Hødd	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.26	Odd - Moss	2:3
Club Friendly
13.03.26	Odd - Moss	2:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.08.25	Moss - Odd	2:2
16.05.25	Odd - Moss	2:0
Club Friendly
01.03.25	Odd - Moss	1:2

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