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Current Win Probability
Odd 33.7%
Draw 23%
Kongsvinger 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
23.2%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
22.2%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Odd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odd than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Odd - Kongsvinger Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Odd will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kongsvinger will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0, 1st Half - Odd (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Odd (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hansen S. (G) 20. Simenstad G. 5. Bonnesen H. (C) 6. Vadstrup J. 13. Skjeldal S. 7. Jorgensen F. 8. Soderberg D. 23. Kojo N. 22. Andersen K. 18. Aas S. 28. Tewelde F.
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 22. Langrekken L. 11. Job D.
Substitutes
17. Ambrose G. 9. Bojadzic S. 29. Engen J. 34. Essayas O. 11. Glenna C. 26. Mugeese Z. 30. Occean G. 24. Oines S. (G) 15. Skau O.
21. Chaminta A. 1. Da Rocha W. (G) 25. Elmi S. 18. Flores M. 9. Johnson G. 15. Lysell V. 5. Lysgard D. 19. Nielsen E. 16. Udnaes P.
Coaches
Frandsen P.
Vennberg J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Mbow M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Christiansen R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Fors V. 🟨,
63', Aas S. ↓, Bojadzic S. ↑,
64', Christiansen R. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
70', Bonnesen H. 🟨,
74', Tewelde F. 🟨,
75', Gjerstrom M. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
75', Job D. ↓, Chaminta A. ↑,
79', Andersen K. ↓, Mugeese Z. ↑,
79', Kojo N. ↓, Glenna C. ↑,
83', Langrekken L. ↓, Lysgard D. ↑,
88', Skjeldal S. ↓, Ambrose G. ↑,
89', Bojadzic S. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).
In recent matches, Odd has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kongsvinger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Odd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Odd won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now
Kongsvinger: 29.45%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Kongsvinger
24
16
5
3
70:35
35
53
5
Odd
24
11
6
7
50:38
12
39
Last Results with these Odds
Kongsvinger - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.27%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.