Match Info

ISL

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Margao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode, Sony Sports TEN 2, Star Sports 3
Maldives	Medianet


	Goa		ATK Mohun Bagan

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.7	Watch
	4.15	3.4	1.78
	4.64	3.59	1.84
	4.28	3.51	1.82	Watch
	4	3.25	1.8	Watch
	4.23	3.4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.65)	3.43 ↑ (3.22)	1.78 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goa
21.7%

Draw
26.8%

ATK Mohun Bagan
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

28.8%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

27.8%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ATK Mohun Bagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ATK Mohun Bagan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ATK Mohun Bagan than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Goa - ATK Mohun Bagan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Jackson B. (G) 17. Singh B. 3. Jhingan S. (C) 4. Moreno P. 27. Sangwan A. 29. Fernandes R. 14. Chhetri A. 77. Rabeeh A K A. 71. Drazic D. 21. Singh U. 44. Nemil M.	1. Kaith V. (G) 5. Aldred T. 45. Apuia 21. Rodriguez A. 15. Bose S. (C) 27. Singh T. 7. Colaco L. 6. Thapa A. 18. Samad S. 29. Maclaren J. 10. Robinho
Substitutes
41. Carvalho S. 22. Gaonkar P. 35. Kharbudon R. 19. Lalhlimpuia D. 26. Pandita I. 23. Patre H. 30. Tamang N. 55. Tiwari H. (G) 10. Yasir M.	72. Bhat S. 35. Cummings J. 9. Petratos D. 4. Ranawade A. 11. Singh M. 55. Singh M. 16. Suryavanshi A. 22. Tangri D. 24. Zahid S. (G)
Coaches
Marquez M.	Lobera S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Sangwan A. 🟨,
44', Singh B. 🟨,
45+1', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Apuia ↓, Singh M. ↑,
46', Robinho ↓, Cummings J. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Maclaren J. ⚽,
55', Thapa A. ↓, Tangri D. ↑,
61', Fernandes R. ↓, Yasir M. ↑,
61', Nemil M. ↓, Kharbudon R. ↑,
61', Singh B. ↓, Lalhlimpuia D. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Kharbudon R. ⚽, Drazic D. (A),
88', Maclaren J. ↓, Petratos D. ↑,
88', Samad S. ↓, Suryavanshi A. ↑,
88', Singh U. ↓, Tamang N. ↑,
90', Chhetri A. ↓, Gaonkar P. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goa won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Goa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mohun Bagan is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Goa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Goa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Goa	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
6	Mohun Bagan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Goa
Indian ISL
01.05.26	Jamshedpur - Goa	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	NorthEast United - Goa	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Goa - Mumbai City	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Goa - Odisha	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Goa - Bengaluru	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWL
- ATK Mohun Bagan
Indian ISL
19.04.26	NorthEast United - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	ATK Mohun Bagan - Punjab	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Jamshedpur - ATK Mohun Bagan	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	ATK Mohun Bagan - Mumbai City	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bengaluru - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Indian Super Cup
30.04.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Goa	1:3
Indian ISL
08.03.25	ATK Mohun Bagan - Goa	2:0
20.12.24	Goa - ATK Mohun Bagan	2:1
14.02.24	Goa - ATK Mohun Bagan	0:1
23.12.23	ATK Mohun Bagan - Goa	1:4
Indian Durand Cup
31.08.23	Goa - ATK Mohun Bagan	1:2
Indian Super Cup
18.04.23	ATK Mohun Bagan - Goa	0:1

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