Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Odra Bytom Odrzański		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.90
	2.12	3.55	2.70
	1.94	3.30	3.38
	2.4	3.46	2.59	Watch
	1.92	3.25	3.25
	1.90	3.70	3.50	Watch
	2.47	3.45	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.47)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)	2.95 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Bytom Odrzański
42.9%

Draw
26.3%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

25.7%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

25.6%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Bytom Odrzański has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Odra Bytom Odrzański's performance.

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie 2 Lubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Bytom Odrzański than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Odra Bytom Odrzański that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie 2 Lubin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Odra Bytom Odrzański - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Szafranski R. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd and 2nd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs).

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Zagłębie 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bytom Odrzański has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bytom Odrzanski	14	8	4	2	16:8	8	28
4	Zaglebie II	14	7	6	1	27:16	11	27

Last Results with these Odds

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 38.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Bytom Odrzański
Polish Division 3 - Group III
03.10.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Polkowice - Odra Bytom Odrzański	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Barycz Sułów	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Carina Gubin - Odra Bytom Odrzański	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - ROW Rybnik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWTW
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
02.10.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polkowice	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Barycz Sułów - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:3 ✺
18.09.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	ROW Rybnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Odra Bytom Odrzański	0:1

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