Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Odra Bytom Odrzański		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.25	2.4
	2.61	3.45	2.4
	2.62	3.33	2.43	Watch
	2.55	3	2.35
	2.63	3.77	2.46	Watch
	2.91	3.41	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.91)	3.37 ↓ (3.41)	2.34 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Bytom Odrzański
34.4%

Draw
26.9%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.4%

25.9%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Bytom Odrzański has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Bytom Odrzański than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Odra Bytom Odrzański - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Kupidura I. ⚽,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 5th).

Bytom Odrzański has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Zagłębie Sosnowiec has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14	10	1	3	21:10	11	31
3	Bytom Odrzanski	14	8	4	2	16:8	8	28

Last Results with these Odds

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 43.73%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Bytom Odrzański
Polish Division 3 - Group III
26.09.26	Polkowice - Odra Bytom Odrzański	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Barycz Sułów	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Carina Gubin - Odra Bytom Odrzański	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - ROW Rybnik	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Odra Bytom Odrzański	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTWT
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 3 - Group III
18.09.26	Polkowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Polonia Nysa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Barycz Sułów - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sparta Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Carina Gubin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW

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