The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Polkowice 42.3%
Draw 26.1%
Zagłębie Sosnowiec 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
26.3%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
25.8%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polkowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polkowice's performance.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie Sosnowiec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polkowice that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie Sosnowiec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Polkowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Tront D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Podgorski M. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Nagrodzki M. ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th and 6th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Zagłębie Sosnowiec has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Polkowice has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:9 (averaging 1:4.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Polkowice against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
10
6
1
3
15:9
6
19
8
Polkowice
11
4
3
4
19:18
1
15
Last Results with these Odds
Polkowice - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 33.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.