Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Sparta Katowice		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.20	2.40
	2.25	3.30	2.65
	2.64	3.53	2.29
	2.6	3.63	2.31	Watch
	2.60	3.30	2.25
	2.66	3.48	2.40	Watch
	2.4	3.38	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.4)	3.4 ↑ (3.38)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sparta Katowice
35.7%

Draw
26.5%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Katowice than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Sparta Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', Wolsztynski R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 1 - 0, Wolsztynski R. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).

Sparta Katowice is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	BKS Sparta Katowice	11	7	3	1	19:7	12	24
5	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	10	6	1	3	15:9	6	19

Last Results with these Odds

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 36.9%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sparta Katowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
22.08.26	Sparta Katowice - Ślęza Wrocław	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	Sparta Katowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Sparta Katowice - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Sparta Katowice	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.26	GKS Tychy - Sparta Katowice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLT
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 3 - Group III
22.08.26	Carina Gubin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:4 ✺
19.08.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Ślęza Wrocław	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	ROW Rybnik - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:1 ✺
09.08.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	GKS Tychy - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches