Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 7

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Resonac Dome Oita (Oita)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Oita Trinita		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.2
	1.65	3.45	4.65	Watch
	1.64	3.65	5.03
	1.65	3.73	5.03	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.62	3.52	5.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.68)	3.52 ↓ (3.61)	4.83 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
55.3%

Draw
25.9%

Ryūkyū
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.8%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

24.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Ryūkyū have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Oita Trinita - Ryūkyū Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 30. Tone I. 31. Matheus Pereira 6. Misao Y. 27. Matsuo Y. 72. Yamaguchi T. 8. Sakakibara K. 14. Utsumoto S. 21. Udo S. 5. Nakagawa H. 29. Sakurai Y.	50. Kawashima K. (G) 27. Funabashi Y. 3. Kikuchi S. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 8. Horiuchi H. 16. Ihori K. 17. Kato Y. 11. Ishiura T. 89. Takagi D. 18. Ueno Y.
Substitutes
13. Isa K. 37. Kimoto M. 20. Kimoto T. 19. Kozakai A. 33. Miyakawa A. 18. Nodake J. 2. Okamoto T. 1. Tanaka Y. (G) 7. Yoshida M.	35. Chiba K. 46. Ikeda R. 26. Jennings C. 7. Motegi S. 1. Sato H. (G) 19. Sato M. 6. Shigema K.

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Oita Trinita has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ryūkyū has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Oita Trinita is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Oita Trinita won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 J3 League
14.03.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Oita Trinita - Kagoshima United	1:0 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Oita Trinita	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Oita Trinita - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Oita Trinita - Gainare Tottori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 J3 League
14.03.26	Ryūkyū - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 penalties ✺
08.03.26	Gainare Tottori - Ryūkyū	1:0 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Ryūkyū - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Ryūkyū - Reilac Shiga	1:0 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Kagoshima United - Ryūkyū	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
23.10.22	Ryūkyū - Oita Trinita	1:0
23.03.22	Oita Trinita - Ryūkyū	4:1

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