Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 4

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Okinawa Athletic Park Stadium (Okinawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ryūkyū		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.35	1.95	Watch
	3.67	3.53	2
	3.58	3.63	1.94	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.85
	3.55	3.4	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.67)	3.46 ↓ (3.68)	1.93 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryūkyū
26.1%

Draw
26.4%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ryūkyū - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato H. (G) 3. Kikuchi S. 14. Suzuki J. 27. Funabashi Y. 15. Araki R. 46. Ikeda R. 8. Horiuchi H. 17. Kato Y. 11. Ishiura T. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 9. Asakawa H.	1. Mogi S. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 28. Manabe H. 39. Shimokawa Y. 27. Yamauchi R. 5. Watanabe E. 7. Ano M. 47. Okumura K. 10. Inoue R. 11. Toshida Y.
Substitutes
35. Chiba K. 4. Fujiharu H. 25. Horiuchi Y. 16. Ihori K. 26. Jennings C. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 7. Motegi S. 89. Takagi D. 18. Ueno Y.	15. Abe T. 40. Ando R. 42. Matsumoto K. 30. Mochizuki K. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 8. Rikiyasu S. 58. Take H. 45. Tanaka S. 25. Yokokubo K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Watanabe E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Asakawa H. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
46', Suzuki J. ↓, Fujiharu H. ↑,
47', Horiuchi H. 🟨,
56', Horiuchi H. ↓, Ihori K. ↑,
63', Inoue R. ↓, Take H. ↑,
70', Watanabe E. 🟨,
72', 0 - 2, Take H. ⚽, Okumura K. (A),
74', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Ueno Y. ↑,
78', Toshida Y. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
78', Watanabe E. ↓, Rikiyasu S. ↑,
84', Ikeda R. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
89', Kuroki K. ↓, Yokokubo K. ↑,
89', Okumura K. ↓, Ando R. ↑,
90', Matsumoto K. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 2.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ryūkyū won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 J3 League
21.02.26	Ryūkyū - Reilac Shiga	1:0 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Kagoshima United - Ryūkyū	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Ryūkyū - Sagan Tosu	2:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
29.11.25	Ryūkyū - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kagoshima United - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLTTT
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2 J3 League
21.02.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagan Tosu	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Gainare Tottori	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Kagoshima United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
Japan J3 League
14.12.25	Osaka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kagoshima United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
27.09.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ryūkyū	4:2
20.04.25	Ryūkyū - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1
15.09.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ryūkyū	2:0
18.05.24	Ryūkyū - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:1
29.10.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ryūkyū	0:2
24.06.23	Ryūkyū - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:3

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