The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olaine 42.4%
Draw 24.5%
Rēzekne 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
24.8%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
24.7%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olaine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olaine's performance.
Rēzekne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rēzekne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olaine than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olaine that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rēzekne than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rēzekne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olaine - Rēzekne Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Balodis P. (G) 9. Cernovs K. 27. Gorodnickis A. 30. Kronis E. 17. Liepnieks A. 8. Pantelejevs K. 23. Pavlenko E. 18. Ruja K. (C) 21. Strelcovs I. 19. Strupiss K. 15. Vinogradovs J.
16. Maslobojevs A. (G) 30. Bovkuns N. 3. Hscanovics R. (C) 15. Ivenkovs P. 7. Jelagovs Ņ. 10. Petrovs A. 17. Rahman A. 11. Sako A. 18. Sokolovs A. 22. Timofejevs G. 14. Visnakovs D.
Substitutes
35. Antipenkovs I. (G) 22. Artjomovs K. 7. Fjodorovs K. 75. Gegers E. 10. Hartmanis D. 2. Kozlovskis R. 33. Moskalovs A. 77. Salna K. 20. Zemlinskis A.
2. Bondars A. 13. Jierkis R. 6. Kedrins A. 23. Kucans A. (G) 29. Rivcs E. 31. Samuilics R. 20. Ziepnieks M. 19. Zukovs D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Kronis E. ↓, Artjomovs K. ↑,
42', Jelagovs Ņ. 🟨,
42', Sokolovs A. ↓, Zukovs D. ↑,
45+1', Artjomovs K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', Bovkuns N. 🟨,
64', Sako A. ↓, Ziepnieks M. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Cernovs K. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Ruja K. ⚽,
79', Hscanovics R. ↓, Rivcs E. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Pavlenko E. ⚽,
85', Pantelejevs K. ↓, Fjodorovs K. ↑,
89', Pavlenko E. ↓, Gegers E. ↑,
90', Strelcovs I. ↓, Zemlinskis A. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olaine won 3.
In recent matches, Olaine has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rēzekne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Rēzekne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Olaine has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Olaine won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 2.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Olaine won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).