Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 12

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: OC Rēzekne Mākslīgais Laukums (Rēzekne)


	Rēzekne		Smiltene

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.4	1.5
	4.85	4.25	1.5	Watch
				Watch
	5.26	4.3	1.48
	4.64	4.5	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (4.64)	4.36 ↓ (4.5)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rēzekne
18.9%

Draw
20.7%

Smiltene
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

19.8%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rēzekne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Smiltene has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rēzekne than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smiltene than the current prediction. (+1%)

Rēzekne - Smiltene Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Maslobojevs A. (G) 30. Bovkuns N. 3. Hscanovics R. (C) 15. Ivenkovs P. 10. Petrovs A. 17. Rahman A. 11. Sako A. 22. Timofejevs G. 24. Timofejevs R. 14. Visnakovs D. 19. Zukovs D.	95. Sausais D. (C) 4. Bleikss R. 2. Bokta M. 16. Gaismins V. 14. Jansons E. 66. Kalnins E. 19. Krasts R. 28. Snepsts K. 23. Stipnieks E. 22. Zauska R. 9. Zvirbulis K.
Substitutes
4. Bogdanovs A. 34. Kedrins A. 18. Mihailovs D. 8. Plotka R. 29. Rivcs E. 31. Samuilics R. 23. Silkans G. (G) 21. Sokolovs A. 13. Ziepnieks M.	99. Eglitis E. (G) 17. Grosbergs K. . Klots R. 18. Rams R. 6. Rubnikovics T. 5. Spalvins M. 11. Tomass E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Bovkuns N. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Petrovs A. ⚽,
44', Jansons E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
72', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rēzekne won 1.

Recent form of Rēzekne has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Smiltene has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Smiltene may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Smiltene is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rēzekne won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 2.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rēzekne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rēzeknes BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
29.06.25	Leevon PPK - Rēzekne	6:2 ✺
14.06.25	Rēzekne - Riga Mariners	2:5 ✺
Latvian Cup
01.06.25	JFK Daugava - Rēzekne	4:0 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.25	Mārupe - Rēzekne	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Rēzekne - Augšdaugavas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLTW
- FK Smiltene BJSS
Latvian 1 Liga
28.06.25	Riga Mariners - Smiltene	3:1 ✺
14.06.25	Smiltene - Augšdaugavas	5:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
01.06.25	JDFS Alberts - Smiltene	5:3 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
24.05.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Smiltene	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Smiltene - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
28.09.24	Smiltene - Rēzekne	3:3
25.05.24	Rēzekne - Smiltene	0:4
07.10.23	Rēzekne - Smiltene	1:2
03.06.23	Smiltene - Rēzekne	5:1
01.10.22	Rēzekne - Smiltene	4:2
22.05.22	Smiltene - Rēzekne	3:3
21.08.21	Rēzekne - Smiltene	2:1

Rēzekne - Smiltene: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide