The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Skanstes 64.8%
Draw 19%
Olaine 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
17.4%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
16.6%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skanstes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Olaine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaine than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Skanstes - Olaine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Plavins K. (G) 11. Bekeris O. 9. Belickis G. 2. Berzins M. 5. Gauris E. 19. Kellers O. 18. Kletskiy M. 7. Livcans L. 6. Palameiks P. 16. Romanovs K. (C) 3. Simpermanis K.
1. Balodis P. (G) 17. Berzins N. 9. Cernovs K. 7. Fjodorovs K. 27. Gorodnickis A. 3. Kozlovskis R. 23. Pavlenko E. 18. Ruja K. (C) 21. Strelcovs I. 15. Vinogradovs J. 20. Zemlinskis A.
Substitutes
17. Bomis R. 21. Grava G. 4. Gribovics A. 12. Krumins K. (G) 14. Ostapovs M.
30. Andrejevs A. 35. Antipenkovs I. (G) 4. Butlers R. 10. Hartmanis D. 12. Keziks K. (G) 16. Laptiev O. 71. Pikar D. 33. Tribers M. 6. Turcaninovs V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Ruja K. (Pen),
43', 0 - 2, Cernovs K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, Bekeris O. ⚽, Palameiks P. (A),
59', Ruja K. ↓, Butlers R. ↑,
62', Strelcovs I. 🟨,
64', Cernovs K. 🟨,
66', Berzins M. ↓, Bomis R. ↑,
74', Fjodorovs K. 🟨,
75', Pavlenko E. ↓, Laptiev O. ↑,
75', Fjodorovs K. 🟨,
84', Vinogradovs J. 🟨,
85', Kletskiy M. ↓, Grava G. ↑,
88', Laptiev O. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Bekeris O. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, Laptiev O. (Pen),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skanstes won 2.
Skanstes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Olaine has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Olaine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Skanstes is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Skanstes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Skanstes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).