Match Info

Copa Rio - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Olaria		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	3.60	2.85	2.00
	3.65	3	1.98
	4.14	2.9	2.01
	4.12	2.8	2.03	Watch
	4.05	2.65	1.99
	4.15	2.8	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.25)	2.83 ↓ (3.2)	2 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olaria
22.9%

Draw
31.9%

Nova Iguaçu
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

28.6%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olaria's form might have worsened.

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Olaria - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

First leg.

In recent matches, Olaria has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nova Iguaçu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olaria won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olaria won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nova Iguaçu - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olaria AC
Brazilian Copa Rio
22.07.26	Bangu - Olaria	1:1 ✺
15.07.26	Olaria - Bangu	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.07.26	Olaria - Bonsucesso	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Araruama - Olaria	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
23.06.26	Olaria - Duque de Caxias	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLW
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Copa Rio
22.07.26	Nova Iguaçu - America RJ	1:1 ✺
15.07.26	America RJ - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu	6:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.26	Nova Iguaçu - Piracicaba	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Maricá - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio
13.08.25	Nova Iguaçu - Olaria	1:0
30.07.25	Olaria - Nova Iguaçu	0:0
13.09.23	Olaria - Nova Iguaçu	6:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.11.20	Olaria - Nova Iguaçu	1:3
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
21.04.13	Olaria - Nova Iguaçu	2:1

Olaria - Nova Iguaçu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide