Match Info
Carioca 2 - Round 11Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Olaria |
|
Bonsucesso |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.45 |
3.20 |
|
 |
2.58 |
2.52 |
3.35 |
|
 |
2.78 |
2.28 |
3.63 |
|
 |
5.59 |
3.53 |
1.60 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
2.16 |
3.55 |
|
 |
2.6 |
2.54 |
3.31 |
|
 |
2.24 |
3 |
3.15 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.18) |
2.64 ↓
(2.95) |
3.11 ↑
(3.1) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Olaria
32.3% | Draw
36.6% | Bonsucesso
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olaria's form might have worsened.Bonsucesso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaria than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonsucesso than the current prediction. (-4.4%)Olaria - Bonsucesso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Mateus Macedo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 9).Olaria is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Bonsucesso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Olaria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Olaria could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olaria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
