Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Grünwalder Stadion (Munich)

Referee: Winter N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	BR Fernsehen, Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, tv.dfb.de
Serbia	Nova Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App, FuboTV
World	Onefootball app


	1860 München		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.3	3.5	2.05
	3.5	3.6	1.95
	3.6	3.82	2.06
	3.55	3.63	1.97	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.5	3.54	1.96	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)	1.98 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1860 München
26.9%

Draw
26.1%

Dynamo Dresden
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

24.8%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

24.2%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

1860 München - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. 1860 München will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Vollath R. (G) 20. Reich L. 4. Verlaat J. (C) 24. Schifferl R. 21. Kwadwo L. 37. Frey M. 5. Jacobsen T. 7. Guttau J. 36. Deniz T. 30. Wolfram M. 10. Schubert F.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 23. Bunning L. 17. Casar A. 29. Boeder L. 10. Lemmer J. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 16. Heise P. 7. Batista Meier O. 24. Menzel T. 33. Daferner C. 21. Meissner R.
Substitutes
28. Bahr F. 1. Hiller M. (G) 34. Hobsch P. 18. Kloss T. 14. Kozuki S. 39. Muteba E. 27. Ott R. 8. Philipp D. 16. Reinthaler M.	4. Duah D. 15. Kammerknecht C. 30. Kutschke S. 14. Lehmann P. 26. Marx J. H. 37. Mesenholer D. (G) 28. Risch S. 32. Sterner J. 99. Zickler J.
Coaches
Giannikis A.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', Deniz T. 🟨,
24', Daferner C. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Menzel T. ⚽, Batista Meier O. (A),
33', Casar A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Deniz T. ⚽, Schubert F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, Meissner R. ⚽,
59', Wolfram M. ↓, Philipp D. ↑,
59', Schubert F. ↓, Kozuki S. ↑,
59', Deniz T. ↓, Hobsch P. ↑,
61', Schifferl R. 🟨,
62', Batista Meier O. ↓, Sterner J. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Menzel T. ⚽, Hauptmann N. (A),
71', 2 - 3, Guttau J. ⚽, Hobsch P. (A),
78', Guttau J. 🟨,
84', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
84', Reich L. ↓, Ott R. ↑,
84', Frey M. ↓, Muteba E. ↑,
90', Meissner R. ↓, Kammerknecht C. ↑,
90', Hauptmann N. ↓, Risch S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches 1860 München won 2.

1860 München is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dynamo Dresden is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dynamo Dresden will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches 1860 München won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-20.

Including matches at home between the teams 1860 München won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
31.08.24	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	1860 München - Viktoria Köln	1:3 ✺
11.08.24	VfB Stuttgart II - 1860 München	3:1 ✺
02.08.24	1860 München - Saarbrücken	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Kaiserslautern - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
31.08.24	Dynamo Dresden - VfB Stuttgart II	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
09.08.24	Dynamo Dresden - Energie Cottbus	4:2 ✺
04.08.24	Viktoria Köln - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.03.24	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	2:1
07.10.23	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	0:0
30.01.23	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	1:2
23.07.22	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	3:4
22.03.21	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	1:0
15.11.20	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	2:1
German 2 Bundesliga
05.05.17	Dynamo Dresden - 1860 München	1:2

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