Match Info

Date: 19 February 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Oleiros		Sertanense

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Oleiros
25.9%

Draw
30.4%

Sertanense
43.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.4%

31.1%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

24.2%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleiros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleiros than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oleiros that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sertanense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Recent matches Oleiros is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sertanense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oleiros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sertanense have a series of home games.

Sertanense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oleiros won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-7.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ARC Oleiros
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.22	Marinhense - Oleiros	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Oleiros - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
29.01.22	SB Castelo Branco - Oleiros	0:1 ✺
22.01.22	Condeixa - Oleiros	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Oleiros - Peniche	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWLT
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.22	Sertanense - Peniche	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	3:0 ✺
23.01.22	Idanhense - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
16.01.22	Sertanense - Condeixa	0:0 ✺
09.01.22	Sertanense - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTTW

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.12.21	Sertanense - Oleiros	2:0
20.02.21	Sertanense - Oleiros	1:1
04.01.20	Sertanense - Oleiros	1:0
Taça de Portugal
08.09.19	Sertanense - Oleiros	2:1 penalties
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.12.17	Sertanense - Oleiros	1:0

Oleiros - Sertanense