Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 21

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Sertanense		Vitória de Sernache

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.75
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	2	3.09	4.04
	1.92	3.18	3.83
	1.94	3.05	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.02)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3.85 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertanense
46.8%

Draw
29.6%

Vitória de Sernache
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 3.

Sertanense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sernache is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sertanense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
18.02.24	Mortágua - Sertanense	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Sertanense - União de Coimbra	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	União de Santarém - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Sertanense - SC Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Marinhense - Sertanense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
18.02.24	Vitória de Sernache - União de Coimbra	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	SC Lusitânia - Vitória de Sernache	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Vitória de Sernache - Rabo de Peixe	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Fontinhas - Vitória de Sernache	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Vitória de Sernache - União de Tomar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
22.10.23	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.22	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	3:0
31.10.21	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	2:3
03.04.21	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	3:1
06.01.21	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	2:1
08.12.19	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	1:2
Taça de Portugal
20.10.19	Vitória de Sernache - Sertanense	0:1 penalties

Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide