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Current Win Probability
Oleksandriya 68.9%
Draw 21.2%
Chornomorets Odesa 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.3%
22.5%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
20.7%
11.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Oleksandriya - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions
Users Predictions:
Oleksandriya will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Yermakov G. (G) 4. Kravchenko M. 26. Ferreira M. 31. Shabanov A. 24. Martynyuk O. 20. Vashchenko D. 6. Kovalets K. (C) 15. Myshnyov D. 33. Juan Alvina 9. Filippov O. 21. Belyaev O.
1. Rudko A. (G) 2. Butko B. (C) 34. Latsabidze L. 39. Skyba Y. 77. Kysil Y. 16. Biloshevskyi B. 11. Popov K. 14. Sigeev K. 8. Sporn J. 7. Petryak I. 9. Khoblenko O.
Substitutes
30. Kopyna Y. 8. Kostyshyn D. 59. Kozak A. 10. Kulakov A. 18. Loginov S. 72. Makarenko N. (G) 80. Malko M. 19. Plaksa R. 88. Pogorilyi V. 77. Shevchenko M. (G) 71. Shostak D. 22. Skorko D.
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 22. Arsic V. 6. Caio Gomes 28. Gabelok A. 44. Jarju M. 33. Pshenychnyuk O. 86. Udod D. 27. Vasyliev O. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 17. Yanakov D. 3. Yermakov V.
Coaches
Rotan R.
Babych O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Vashchenko D. ⚽,
17', Rudko A. 🟨,
17', Petryak I. 🟥,
21', Butko B. 🟨,
29', Butko B. 🟥,
31', Babych O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Myshnyov D. ↓, Kozak A. ↑,
46', Kravchenko M. ↓, Skorko D. ↑,
56', Khoblenko O. 🟨,
57', Juan Alvina 🟨,
58', Kovalets K. ↓, Kulakov A. ↑,
63', Juan Alvina ↓, Kostyshyn D. ↑,
68', Biloshevskyi B. ↓, Caio Gomes ↑,
68', Popov K. ↓, Yanakov D. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Kostyshyn D. ⚽, Skorko D. (A),
90+1', 3 - 0, Kozak A. ⚽, Kostyshyn D. (A),
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oleksandriya won 1.
Oleksandriya in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Chornomorets is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Oleksandriya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Oleksandriya is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Oleksandriya: Kaliuzhnyi I.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Chornomorets: Prysyazhnyuk A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Oleksandriya: Shulyanskyi A.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Oleksandriya to win the game is with odds 1.38.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Oleksandriya won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:28 (average 1.3:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Oleksandriya won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1:1.4).
Croatia
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Ukraine
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Yermakov G. (G) 
Ferreira M. 
Juan Alvina 
Latsabidze L. 
Sporn J. 
Aniagboso C. (G) 
Arsic V. 
Jarju M. 
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