Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: KSK Nika (Oleksandria)

Referee: Afanasyev O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Oleksandriya		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.15	1.88
	4.51	3.22	1.87
	5.09	3.96	1.64	Watch
	4.38	3.24	1.88	Watch
	4.9	3.65	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↓ (5.09)	3.44 ↓ (3.96)	1.78 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandriya
20.2%

Draw
27.2%

Polissya Zhytomyr
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

23.9%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.5%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polissya Zhytomyr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Oleksandriya - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Polissya will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dolgyi V. (G) 22. Skorko D. 26. Ferreira M. 86. Bol A. 23. Oharkov M. 20. Vashchenko D. 19. Jota 9. Myshnyov D. (C) 8. Buletsa S. 27. Cara T. 99. Castillo B.	23. Volynets Y. (G) 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 44. Chobotenko S. 5. Sarapiy E. 55. Krushynskyi B. 18. Andriyevski O. 8. Babenko R. (C) 11. Gutsulyak O. 45. Bragaru M. 22. Veleten V. 89. Gayduchyk M.
Substitutes
49. Amaral M. 50. Behiratche J. 5. Fernando Henrique 4. Goulart 59. Kozak A. 10. Kulakov A. 16. Ndicka Matam T. 97. Prokopenko N. 30. Shevchenko M. (G) 55. Smyrnyi Y. 24. Touati H. 2. Ukhan I.	21. Bushchan G. (G) 9. Filippov O. 2. Hadroj A. 34. Joao Vialle 1. Kudryk O. (G) 30. Lednev B. 60. Melnychenko M. 7. Nazarenko O. 19. Shepelev V. 6. Talles Costa 10. Yosefi T.
Coaches
Nesterenko K.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Gayduchyk M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Sarapiy E. ⚽, Veleten V. (A),
59', Gayduchyk M. ↓, Filippov O. ↑,
59', Bragaru M. ↓, Shepelev V. ↑,
66', Castillo B. ↓, Kulakov A. ↑,
66', Vashchenko D. ↓, Fernando Henrique ↑,
66', Buletsa S. ↓, Touati H. ↑,
71', Veleten V. ↓, Nazarenko O. ↑,
71', Andriyevski O. ↓, Talles Costa ↑,
72', Cara T. ↓, Kozak A. ↑,
74', Skorko D. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', 0 - 3, Nazarenko O. ⚽,
87', Jota ↓, Amaral M. ↑,
89', Babenko R. ↓, Lednev B. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 4).

Oleksandriya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Polissya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polissya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Polissya is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Oleksandriya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
01.11.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Oleksandriya - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Veres Rivne - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Oleksandriya - Poltava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLW
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
03.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Obolon - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Poltava	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Veres Rivne - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
04.05.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Oleksandriya	1:2
03.11.24	Oleksandriya - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:0
09.03.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Oleksandriya	1:2
Ukrainian Cup
02.11.23	Polissya Zhytomyr - Oleksandriya	1:0 penalties
Ukrainian Premier League
26.08.23	Oleksandriya - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:3

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