Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Arcanjo (Olhão)


	Olhanense		Serpa

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2
	3.05	3.15	2.1
	3.25	3.2	2.04
	3.11	3.34	2.22
	3.4	3.18	2.04
	3.3	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (4.42)	3.22 ↓ (3.8)	2.08 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olhanense
28.1%

Draw
28.2%

Serpa
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

23.8%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

22.9%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olhanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olhanense's performance.

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olhanense than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olhanense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serpa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olhanense - Serpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Olhanense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Serpa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olhanense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Serpa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Olhanense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Olhanense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Olhanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Lusitano GC - Olhanense	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Olhanense - Juventude de Évora	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Olhanense - Esperança de Lagos	2:3 ✺
17.12.22	Imortal - Olhanense	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Olhanense - Praiense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Angrense - Serpa	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Serpa - Atlético CP	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Ferreiras - Serpa	0:2 ✺
04.12.22	Lusitano GC - Serpa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	Serpa - Olhanense	2:1
06.02.22	Olhanense - Serpa	1:1
07.11.21	Serpa - Olhanense	0:3

Olhanense - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide