Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 26

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)


	Olimpia Elbląg		Legia II

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.05	1.46
	4.63	3.62	1.61
	5.99	4.63	1.41	Watch
	5	3.5	1.53
	5.13	3.9	1.59	Watch
	4.1	4.4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (4.1)	4.02 ↓ (4.4)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
17.9%

Draw
22.6%

Legia II
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

20.2%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

19.2%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Legia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Kordykiewicz O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 1 - 1, Ryczkowski A. ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, White J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Elbląg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Legia II is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Legia II is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elbląg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łomża	0:3 ✺
25.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Wasilków - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wikielec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.04.26	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Legia II - Wasilków	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Legia II - GKS Bełchatów	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Legia II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.09.25	Legia II - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2

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