Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)


	Olimpia Elbląg		Broń Radom

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.45	2.78
	2.62	3.41	2.39	Watch
	2.16	3.4	3.09	Watch
	1.96	3.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	2.87 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
41.3%

Draw
26.7%

Broń Radom
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

26.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Broń Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Broń Radom Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Broń Radom (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elbląg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Broń Radom - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 34.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:5 ✺
08.11.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Olimpia Elbląg	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
18.10.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź II	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLT
- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Warta Sieradz - Broń Radom	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Broń Radom - Wasilków	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Legia II - Broń Radom	7:0 ✺
26.10.25	Broń Radom - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Troszyn - Broń Radom	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.08.25	Broń Radom - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2

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