Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)


	Olimpia Elbląg		Pelikan Łowicz

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.40	2.37
	2.42	3.30	2.45
	2.45	3.34	2.47
	2.45	3.45	2.54	Watch
	2.40	3.30	2.40
	2.48	3.38	2.42	Watch
	2.76	3.53	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.76)	3.39 ↓ (3.41)	2.39 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
36%

Draw
26.5%

Pelikan Łowicz
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

26%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Pelikan Łowicz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Elbląg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pelikan Łowicz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6).

Elbląg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pelikan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pelikan could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Pelikan	11	6	2	3	17:13	4	20
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.09.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź II	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTLW
- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.09.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Pelikan Łowicz - ŁKS Łódź II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLW

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