Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)


	Olimpia Elbląg		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.30	1.87
	3.35	3.3	1.92
	3.21	3.32	2.03
	3.28	3.49	1.99	Watch
	3	3.25	2.05
	3.19	3.86	1.97	Watch
	2.82	3.41	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.82)	3.42 ↑ (3.41)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
28.2%

Draw
26.4%

Wigry Suwałki
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25.9%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Wigry Suwałki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Branecki J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
72', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Gohlike O. ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elbląg won 1.

In recent matches, Elbląg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wigry is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wigry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wigry will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Elbląg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Elbląg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Elbląg - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.08.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź II	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:2 ✺
31.07.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Płock II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWWL
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Troszyn	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - ŁKS Łódź II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	1:3
25.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1
Polish Division 2
04.12.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	4:1
13.08.21	Wigry Suwałki - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0
06.03.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	0:0
28.08.20	Wigry Suwałki - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1
Polish Division 2 - East
12.04.14	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	0:0

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