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Current Win Probability
Olimpia Grudziądz 61%
Draw 22.8%
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
27.3%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
28.2%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Grudziądz's performance.
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Grudziądz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Sobolewski S. (G) 10. Cichon K. 5. Czajka B. 44. Frelek D. (C) 18. Jarzec K. 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 9. Mas M. 26. Sewerzynski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.
43. Wieczorek K. (G) 4. Biernat M. 3. Dziwniel D. (C) 9. Gorski M. 6. Kizyma M. 21. Kolanko K. 17. Majsterek J. 84. Martosz B. 25. Nagy R. 7. Sitek M. 8. Takac D.
Substitutes
21. Bonikowski J. 33. Budchan E. (G) 16. Fietz K. 3. Klimczak A. 72. Koperski F. 11. Krocz S. 13. Moneta L. 69. Pawlowski M. 42. Zablonski P.
24. Bednarski M. . Bieronski B. . Branczyk S. (G) . Bujan U. . Gach K. 18. Janusz G. . Klisiewicz L. . Piatek K. 10. Szumilas W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Kizyma M. 🟨,
10', Cichon K. 🟨,
12', Sitek M. 🟨,
23', Zbiciak B. 🟨,
32', Nagy R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Mas M. ⚽,
56', Kizyma M. ↓, Klisiewicz L. ↑,
56', Sitek M. ↓, Szumilas W. ↑,
57', Dziwniel D. 🟨,
61', Kolanko K. ↓, Bieronski B. ↑,
61', Dziwniel D. ↓, Gach K. ↑,
66', Kaczmarek T. ↓, Moneta L. ↑,
75', Takac D. ↓, Bujan U. ↑,
75', Mas M. ↓, Pawlowski M. ↑,
75', Kobryn R. ↓, Koperski F. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Pawlowski M. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, Biernat M. (Pen),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1.
Recent performances by Olimpia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Podbeskidzie is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Podbeskidzie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.36%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.