The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 37.7%
Draw 28.3%
Warta Poznań 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
27.1%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
27.8%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała's form might have worsened.
Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Warta Poznań's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Warta Poznań, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Forenc K. (G) 4. Biernat M. 3. Dziwniel D. (C) 22. Gach K. 9. Gorski M. 6. Kizyma M. 21. Kolanko K. 17. Majsterek J. 84. Martosz B. 10. Szumilas W. 8. Takac D.
42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 2. Lepczynski K. 13. Niedzielski J. 99. Smoczynski M. 17. Stefaniak M. 19. Szymanek K. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 74. Zalewski S. 21. Zylla M.
Substitutes
24. Bednarski M. 18. Bieronski B. 80. Bujan U. 90. Klisiewicz L. 7. Sitek M. 98. Slomka W. 14. Urynowicz M. 43. Wieczorek K. (G) 11. Zawada O.
20. Dziedzic K. 35. Jakubowski F. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) . Michalski S. 29. Rychert K. 9. Stanek M. . Steblecki S. . Tonder F. 7. Walus F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Smoczynski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Kolanko K. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
46', Takac D. ↓, Sitek M. ↑,
46', Szumilas W. ↓, Urynowicz M. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Kizyma M. ⚽,
48', Majsterek J. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Gorski M. ⚽,
60', Zalewski S. ↓, Rychert K. ↑,
60', Smoczynski M. ↓, Stanek M. ↑,
69', Niedzielski J. ↓, Steblecki S. ↑,
69', Kumoch K. ↓, Dziedzic K. ↑,
75', Zawada O. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Stanek M. ⚽,
88', 2 - 3, Rychert K. ⚽,
90+5', Biernat M. 🟨,
90+5', Wojcinowicz T. 🟨,
90+7', Kizyma M. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Podbeskidzie won 1.
Podbeskidzie has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Warta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Podbeskidzie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Warta has had a series of home games.
Podbeskidzie could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Podbeskidzie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.6:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Podbeskidzie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.11%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Poland
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Forenc K. (G) 
Takac D. 
Avdeev D. 
Bujan U. 
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