Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Olimpia Zambrów		Warta Sieradz

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	2.06	3.5	3.23	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.85)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	3.16 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Zambrów
45.7%

Draw
25.6%

Warta Sieradz
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

24.9%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

24.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Zambrów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Warta Sieradz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Lis M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Romanowicz J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 1 - 2, Macczak B. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Zambrów could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zambrów will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zambrów won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Zambrów won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.05.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Olimpia Zambrów	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Olimpia Zambrów - ŁKS Łomża	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Olimpia Zambrów	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLW
- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.05.24	Warta Sieradz - GKS Bełchatów	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Warta Sieradz	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Warta Sieradz - Legionovia Legionowo	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Wikielec - Warta Sieradz	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.10.23	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Zambrów	0:2
24.05.23	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Zambrów	1:0
22.10.22	Olimpia Zambrów - Warta Sieradz	2:0
14.04.18	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Zambrów	1:1
02.09.17	Olimpia Zambrów - Warta Sieradz	2:1

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