Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Stožice (Ljubljana) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:45	Disney+
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 12
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Sporza
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 1, Sport TV1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4
	1.93	3.1	3.9
	1.95	3.3	4
	1.98	3.23	4.42
	1.92	3.26	4.23	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.99	3.31	4.33
	1.95	3.3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.4)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	4.05 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
48.3%

Draw
28.5%

Cercle Brugge
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.4%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

26.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpija Ljubljana's performance.

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cercle Brugge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpija Ljubljana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cercle Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.2%	16.7%	29.2%

Olimpija Ljubljana - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Olimpija will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpija: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Vidovsek M. (G) 15. Ristic M. 14. Ratnik M. (C) 17. Muhamedbegovic A. 2. Silva J. 6. Agba P. 34. Doffo A. 3. Sualehe D. 18. Brest M. 11. Blanco A. 19. Durdov I.	21. Delanghe M. (G) 3. Utkus E. 66. Ravych C. (C) 18. Miangue S. 7. Efekele M. 17. Francis A. 27. De Wilde N. 15. Magnee G. 11. Minda A. 19. Olaigbe K. 10. Felipe Augusto
Substitutes
45. Acimovic M. 24. Boultam R. 36. Fink G. (G) 10. Florucz R. 33. Govea J. 9. Kojic D. 8. Lasickas J. 99. Marin A. 21. Pedreno M. 23. Pinto D. 22. Pintol D. (G) 88. Thalisson	6. Agyekum L. 13. Brunner P. 9. Denkey K. 2. Diakite I. 4. Gomis D. 84. Langenbick B. (G) 76. Lietaert J. 91. Roete M. 34. Somers T. 28. van der Bruggen H.
Coaches
Sanchez V.	Feldhofer F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Olaigbe K. ⚽, Minda A. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Blanco A. ⚽, Doffo A. (A),
8', Felipe Augusto 🟨,
24', 1 - 2, Felipe Augusto ⚽, Utkus E. (A),
27', Agba P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Agba P. ↓, Thalisson ↑,
51', Thalisson 🟥,
53', Sualehe D. 🟨,
56', Minda A. ↓, Brunner P. ↑,
56', Ravych C. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
63', Blanco A. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
64', Diakite I. 🟨,
65', Ristic M. 🟨,
68', Felipe Augusto ↓, Denkey K. ↑,
69', Efekele M. ↓, Somers T. ↑,
69', Brest M. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
70', Sualehe D. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Denkey K. ⚽, Olaigbe K. (A),
81', 1 - 4, Olaigbe K. ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
83', Francis A. ↓, van der Bruggen H. ↑,
90+4', Doffo A. 🟨,

Preview

Olimpija is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cercle Brugge is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cercle Brugge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Olimpija is a favorite.

There will not play in Olimpija: Schwaizer P. L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Bruninho (Knee Injury) Nazinho (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Gomis D. (Hamstring Injury) Ouattara A. K. (Injury) Warleson (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
07.12.24	NK Bravo - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Radomlje	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Larne	1:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
24.11.24	Mura - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWWT
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.24	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.12.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Cercle Brugge	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Cercle Brugge - Hearts	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.11.24	Standard Liège - Cercle Brugge	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWL

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