Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 20

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge) 🌤️ ...

Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN


	Cercle Brugge		Saint-Gilloise

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.85	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.92	Watch
	3.98	3.6	1.91
	3.6	3.25	2
	3.91	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↓ (4.1)	3.49 ↓ (3.7)	1.92 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cercle Brugge
24.4%

Draw
26.8%

Saint-Gilloise
48.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.9%

25.4%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

24.3%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	4.2%	83.3%

Cercle Brugge - Saint Gilloise Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cercle Brugge (votes: 2 - 25%). Union SG (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Warleson (G) 2. Diakite I. 66. Ravych C. 3. Utkus E. 20. Nazinho 28. van der Bruggen H. (C) 15. Magnee G. 18. Gerkens P. 6. Agyekum L. 17. Adewumi O. 9. Ngoura S.	37. Scherpen K. (G) 26. Sykes R. 16. Burgess C. 48. Leysen F. 25. Khalaili A. 6. Van De Perre K. 4. Rasmussen M. 11. Guilherme Smith 20. Giger M. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 12. David P.
Substitutes
21. Delanghe M. (G) 27. De Wilde N. 19. Diaby I. 37. Diop E. 8. Erick Nunes 23. Jurado H. 5. Kakou E. 41. Kouassi K. 11. Minda A. 12. Valy K.	3. Barry M. T. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 19. Francois G. 7. Fuseini M. 18. Kavlashvili G. (G) 31. Makate Bokoya C. 27. Patris L. 14. Pavlic I. 13. Rodriguez K. 17. Schoofs R.
Coaches
Cinel O.	Hubert D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Rasmussen M. ⚽,
32', Guilherme Smith 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Magnee G. (Penalty Awarded),
45', van der Bruggen H. 🟨,
45', Sykes R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Agyekum L. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
59', Diaby I. 🟨,
60', Giger M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
72', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
74', Burgess C. 🟨,
76', Diaby I. 🟨,
87', Burgess C. 🟨,
89', Guilherme Smith ↓, Patris L. ↑,
90+3', Gerkens P. ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
90+6', Ngoura S. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 2.

Cercle Brugge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Union SG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Union SG has had a series of home games.

In this match, Union SG is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diakite O. (International duty) Ouattara A. K. (Injury) Valy K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Union SG: Florucz R. (Calf Injury) Mac Allister K. (Inactive) Zorgane A. (International duty)

There are questionable in Union SG: Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cercle Brugge won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.12.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	0:2 ✺
13.12.25	Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen	2:3 ✺
06.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Cercle Brugge - Gent	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.11.25	Zulte Waregem - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLT
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.12.25	Saint-Gilloise - Zulte Waregem	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.12.25	Saint-Gilloise - Olympique Marseille	2:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.12.25	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Saint-Gilloise - Zulte Waregem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.11.25	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	2:0
08.12.24	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	0:0
27.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	1:3
19.05.24	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	1:2
07.04.24	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	2:3
03.12.23	Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge	2:1
24.09.23	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	0:2

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