Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Mura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.50	4.00
	1.78	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.87	3.49	4.27
	1.83	3.53	4.14	Watch
	1.83	3.35	4
	1.75	3.45	4.1
	1.77	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.62)	3.45 ↓ (3.72)	4.1 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
51%

Draw
26.6%

Mura
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

23.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpija Ljubljana's form might have worsened.

Mura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpija Ljubljana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mura than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 4th and 9th in the Prva liga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 3.

Olimpija is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Mura is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Mura could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Olimpija is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Olimpija has recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:15 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Olimpija against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 15:4 goals (averaging 1.5:0.4 per game).

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

O. Ljubljana: 15.45% Mura: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	O. Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10:8	2	14
9	Mura	10	2	3	5	10:21	-11	9

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpija Ljubljana - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.7%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Slaven Belupo	2:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.09.26	NK Bravo - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Koper - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Brinje-Grosuplje	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Radomlje - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWT
- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.09.26	Mura - Celje	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:6 ✺
06.09.26	Maribor - Mura	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	NK Bravo - Mura	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Mura - Koper	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
25.07.26	Mura - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:0
04.04.26	Mura - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:0
31.01.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	1:0
28.09.25	Mura - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:2
19.07.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	1:0
10.05.25	Mura - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:1
12.03.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	2:1

Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide