Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Olimpik Donetsk		Kolos Kovalivka

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.83
	4.1	3.25	1.83
	4	3.3	1.8
	3.85	3.1	1.89
	4.23	3.43	1.93
	4	3.25	1.95
	4.05	3.35	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.63)	3.28 ↓ (3.29)	1.88 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpik Donetsk
22.8%

Draw
28.1%

Kolos Kovalivka
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

28.1%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

20.8%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpik Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpik Donetsk than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kolos Kovalivka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpik Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Kolos Stadium.

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

Olimpik has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kolos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olimpik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Kolos is a favorite.

Recent matches Kolos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 8 head-to-head matches Olimpik won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpik won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpik Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
03.04.21	Desna Chernihiv - Olimpik Donetsk	2:0 ✺
20.03.21	Vorskla Poltava - Olimpik Donetsk	3:0 ✺
14.03.21	Oleksandriya - Olimpik Donetsk	2:0 ✺
06.03.21	Olimpik Donetsk - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
28.02.21	Mynai - Olimpik Donetsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
04.04.21	Mynai - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0 ✺
21.03.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Zorya Luhansk	1:0 ✺
14.03.21	Mariupol - Kolos Kovalivka	1:4 ✺
07.03.21	Inhulets - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
03.03.21	Dynamo Kyiv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
31.10.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Olimpik Donetsk	1:2
03.11.19	Kolos Kovalivka - Olimpik Donetsk	1:2
Club Friendly
13.10.19	Olimpik Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:0
07.09.19	Olimpik Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:2
Ukrainian Premier League
04.08.19	Olimpik Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1
Club Friendly
29.06.18	Kolos Kovalivka - Olimpik Donetsk	2:1
24.06.17	Kolos Kovalivka - Olimpik Donetsk	1:0

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