Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mariupol		Kolos Kovalivka

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.3	3.35	2
	3.35	3.15	2.01
	3.66	3.43	2.08
	3.3	3.25	2.2
	3.58	3.4	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.38)	3.28 ↓ (3.32)	2.05 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mariupol
26.7%

Draw
28.1%

Kolos Kovalivka
45.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

20.6%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariupol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariupol than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariupol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kolos Kovalivka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mariupol - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Mariupol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kolos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kolos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mariupol have a series of home games.

Kolos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mariupol won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mariupol won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mariupol
Ukrainian Premier League
06.03.21	Mariupol - Vorskla Poltava	0:1 ✺
27.02.21	Mariupol - Dnipro-1	2:2 ✺
20.02.21	Mariupol - Zorya Luhansk	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	Mariupol - Oleksandriya	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.21	Raków Częstochowa - Mariupol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLLT
- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
07.03.21	Inhulets - Kolos Kovalivka	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
03.03.21	Dynamo Kyiv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
27.02.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Rukh Lviv	1:2 ✺
20.02.21	Lviv - Kolos Kovalivka	0:2 ✺
14.02.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
04.10.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Mariupol	1:0
29.07.20	Kolos Kovalivka - Mariupol	1:0 ET
26.10.19	Mariupol - Kolos Kovalivka	2:0
30.07.19	Kolos Kovalivka - Mariupol	2:1
Ukrainian Cup
20.09.17	Kolos Kovalivka - Mariupol	1:2
Club Friendly
29.06.17	Kolos Kovalivka - Mariupol	0:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
21.05.17	Mariupol - Kolos Kovalivka	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
01.11.26	Kolos Kovalivka - Polissya Zhytomyr	✺

Mariupol - Kolos Kovalivka