Match Info

Date: 5 November 2021, Friday


	Oliveirense		Canelas

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4.1
	1.8	3.15	4.15
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.77	3.41	4.56
	1.74	3.38	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.67)	3.29 ↓ (3.6)	4.32 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
51.3%

Draw
27.7%

Canelas
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

25.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

16.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Canelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oliveirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canelas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Oliveirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Canelas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Canelas have a series of home games.

In this match Oliveirense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 3
30.10.21	Fafe - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
23.10.21	Oliveirense - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Oliveirense - Portimonense	3:4 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
01.10.21	Anadia - Oliveirense	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Oliveirense - Arronches Benfica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLWW
- CF Canelas 2010
Portuguese Liga 3
30.10.21	Canelas - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
23.10.21	Pevidem - Canelas	1:2 ✺
02.10.21	Canelas - Felgueiras	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
25.09.21	Canelas - Casa Pia	2:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
19.09.21	Canelas - Braga B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 3
10.10.26	Covilhã - Oliveirense	✺

Oliveirense - Canelas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide