Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Martins T. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Oliveirense		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.1	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.17	3.54	3.44
	2.14	3.54	3.44
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.08	3.4	3.27
	2.08	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.24)	3.38 ↑ (3.18)	3.24 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
44.2%

Draw
27.3%

Belenenses
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Oliveirense - Belenenses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Macedo N. (G) 25. Casimiro 42. Guilherme 19. John K. 75. Namora N. 5. Filipe Alves (C) 8. Santos A. 34. Ze Leite 56. Schurrle 23. Michel Lima 9. Carter A.	22. Grilo D. (G) 48. Manso T. 33. Correia R. 34. Ilori T. 37. Akas C. 23. Fernandes X. 28. Cruz H. (C) 77. Keita M. 12. Dini F. 21. Pina R. 87. Zequinha
Substitutes
99. Augusto A. (G) 4. Iago Reis 21. Jaiminho 13. Lomboto J. 11. Miura K. 50. Nagata K. 72. Negrao G. 90. Sangare B. 22. Ze Pedro	75. Carrico T. 25. Carvalho P. 16. Chapi 3. Fabao 9. Matos R. 14. Oliveira G. (G) 11. Sambu M. 99. Silva M.
Coaches
Cheu R.	Barreto M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Dini F. ⚽, Manso T. (A),
15', Akas C. 🟨,
18', Cruz H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Akas C. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
53', Correia R. 🟨,
55', Santos A. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
58', Zequinha ↓, Matos R. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Pina R. ⚽,
61', Fernandes X. 🟨,
65', Casimiro ↓, Sangare B. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Filipe Alves ⚽, Carter A. (A),
75', Dini F. ↓, Chapi ↑,
77', Namora N. 🟨,
82', Ze Leite 🟨,
84', Keita M. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
88', Namora N. ↓, Ze Pedro ↑,
88', Ze Leite ↓, Negrao G. ↑,
88', Filipe Alves ↓, Nagata K. ↑,
90+6', Matos R. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Oliveirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oliveirense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
14.04.24	Porto B - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Oliveirense - Benfica B	3:1 ✺
29.03.24	Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Oliveirense - AVS	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	Leiria - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLTL
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
13.04.24	Belenenses - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Penafiel - Belenenses	3:0 ✺
29.03.24	Belenenses - Feirense	3:1 ✺
18.03.24	Vilaverdense - Belenenses	1:1 ✺
11.03.24	Belenenses - Leixões	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.12.23	Belenenses - Oliveirense	1:0

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