Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 28

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Carlos Osorio (Oliveira de Azemeis)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV4


	Oliveirense		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.88
	2.4	3.3	2.78
	2.34	3.45	3.07
	2.73	2.57	3.17	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.41	3.35	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.03)	3.15 ↓ (3.17)	2.91 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
38.7%

Draw
29.5%

Portimonense
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oliveirense's form might have worsened.

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliveirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portimonense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Oliveirense - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Portimonense will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ribeiro R. (C) 2. Douglas Borel 4. Bura 75. Namora N. 19. Lopes A. 90. Brito T. 99. Sabino 21. Silva J. 8. Ondoa F. 10. Bruno Silva 9. Martelo P.	26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 31. Edney 6. Neves S. 32. Jarleysom 73. Junior M. 17. Joao Reis (C) 16. Thauan Lara 37. Mateus Sarara 47. Cagro W. 8. Lobato S. 21. Dauda M.
Substitutes
26. Bastos L. 40. Greis N. (G) 11. Joanderson 7. Joao Adriano 17. Lucas Henrique 80. Onohara K. 14. Pereira D. 88. Rodriguez Y. 13. Santos V.	90. Canario F. 77. Cibois S. (G) 22. De Bolle L. 7. Djassi D. 19. Dju M. 40. Joao Vitor 50. Kait K. 87. Pancadas Casimiro J. D. 93. Welinton Junior
Coaches
Silva R.	Fernandes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Cagro W. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Thauan Lara ⚽,
63', Martelo P. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
63', Ondoa F. ↓, Lucas Henrique ↑,
63', Dauda M. ↓, Welinton Junior ↑,
72', Lobato S. 🟨,
72', Sabino ↓, Joao Adriano ↑,
73', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
73', Lopes A. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Douglas Borel ⚽,
80', Thauan Lara ↓, Canario F. ↑,
80', Junior M. ↓, Djassi D. ↑,
88', Bruno Silva ↓, Joanderson ↑,
90+2', Maycon Cleiton 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Welinton Junior ⚽, Edney (A),
90+4', Welinton Junior 🟨,
90+5', Djassi D. ↓, De Bolle L. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
21.03.26	Marítimo - Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
16.03.26	Porto B - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Oliveirense - Torreense	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Paços de Ferreira - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Oliveirense - Leiria	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLTL
- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
21.03.26	Portimonense - Porto B	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Torreense - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Portimonense - Paços de Ferreira	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Portimonense - Académico de Viseu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.11.25	Portimonense - Oliveirense	1:1
06.04.25	Portimonense - Oliveirense	2:3
09.11.24	Oliveirense - Portimonense	0:2
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Oliveirense - Portimonense	3:4 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.16	Oliveirense - Portimonense	0:2
13.12.15	Portimonense - Oliveirense	1:2
06.05.15	Oliveirense - Portimonense	2:4

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