Match Info

Date: 8 November 2020, Sunday


	Oliveirense		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.8
	3.6	3.3	1.91
	3.4	3.5	1.9
	3.8	3.4	1.91
	3.89	3.8	1.94
	3.8	3.5	1.91
	3.82	3.48	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.7)	3.48 ↑ (3.44)	1.9 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
24.8%

Draw
26.5%

Estoril Praia
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.8%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

20.9%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oliveirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estoril Praia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oliveirense - Estoril Praia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 4).

Recent matches Oliveirense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estoril in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Estoril could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Estoril will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
31.10.20	Académica Coimbra - Oliveirense	3:0 ✺
25.10.20	Oliveirense - Covilhã	1:2 ✺
20.10.20	Chaves - Oliveirense	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.10.20	Sesimbra - Oliveirense	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
03.10.20	Oliveirense - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWL
- Estoril Praia
Portuguese Liga 2
25.10.20	Varzim - Estoril Praia	0:2 ✺
20.10.20	Estoril Praia - Feirense	3:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.10.20	Sertanense - Estoril Praia	0:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.20	Benfica B - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
28.09.20	Estoril Praia - Leixões	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.03.20	Oliveirense - Estoril Praia	1:1
27.10.19	Estoril Praia - Oliveirense	3:0
19.04.19	Estoril Praia - Oliveirense	3:1
21.12.18	Oliveirense - Estoril Praia	0:1

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