Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 12

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Denmark	Bold+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 2
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	DAZN Italia
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Lithuania	Sport 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Triller TV+


	Porto		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.25	15	Watch
	1.17	6.9	14.5	Watch
	1.18	7.3	17.26
	1.28	5.51	10.56	Watch
	1.19	7.55	17	Watch
	1.17	7	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.25)	6.75 ↑ (5.29)	14.72 ↑ (11.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Porto
79.5%

Draw
14%

Estoril Praia
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto's performance.

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.6%	3.1%	6.2%

Porto - Estoril Praia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.75 - Porto (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Porto will win (28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.91% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 74. Moura F. 8. Froholdt V. 13. Rosario P. 86. Mora R. 7. William Gomes 9. Samu 17. Sainz B.	1. Robles J. (G) 44. Boma K. 25. Bacher F. 24. Amaral P. 2. Sanchez R. 10. Holsgrove J. 6. Jandro 12. Carvalho J. (C) 99. Guitane R. 14. Begraoui Y. 19. Lacximicant A.
Substitutes
47. Alarcon A. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 26. de Jong L. 6. Eustaquio S. 52. Fernandes M. 11. Pepê 21. Prpic D. 10. Veiga G. 12. Zaidu	90. Brito T. 22. Carvalho P. 20. Costa G. 4. Ferro 9. Marques A. 55. Parente T. 45. Patrick de Paula 21. Pizzi 16. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Farioli F.	Cathro I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, William Gomes ⚽,
12', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
35', Cathro I. 🟨,
38', Sanchez R. 🟨,
42', Moura F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moura F. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
53', Robles J. 🟨,
56', Amaral P. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
56', Sanchez R. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
59', Costa A. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
59', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
66', Jandro ↓, Ferro ↑,
68', Samu ↓, de Jong L. ↑,
75', Lacximicant A. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
82', Sainz B. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3.

Porto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Estoril is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Porto is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Estoril: Xeka (Injury)

There are questionable in Estoril: Peixinho (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:18. (average 2.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:5. (average 2.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Porto - Nice	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Porto - Sintrense	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
09.11.25	Famalicão - Porto	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Utrecht - Porto	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
02.11.25	Porto - Braga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWTW
- Estoril Praia
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.11.25	Estoril Praia - Arouca	4:3 ✺
01.11.25	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	0:4 ✺
26.10.25	Estoril Praia - Nacional	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Belenenses - Estoril Praia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
30.03.25	Estoril Praia - Porto	1:2
03.11.24	Porto - Estoril Praia	4:0
30.03.24	Estoril Praia - Porto	1:0
Taça de Portugal
09.01.24	Estoril Praia - Porto	0:4
Portuguese League Cup
06.12.23	Estoril Praia - Porto	3:1
Liga Portugal
03.11.23	Porto - Estoril Praia	0:1
10.03.23	Porto - Estoril Praia	3:2

Upcoming Matches